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Man United v Bayer Leverkusen – Betting Prediction

United could still be in a bit of a tussle to win Group A. They’ll be sweating over just qualification if they lose out in Germany on Wednesday night. This is a very tough looking match for Daivd Moyes and the Bundesliga side will no doubt be out for some revenge after their 4-2 defeat at Old Trafford. The Germans can be an erratic side, but will United have enough defensively to at least get what would be a pretty valuable point?

Man Utd v Bayer Leverkusen Betting Odds at online bookmaker Bet365

Bayer Leverkusen 6/4, Man United 9/5, Draw 12/5

Man Utd v Bayer Leverkusen Betting Tips:

There is the scenario that United lose this and they will play Shakhtar Donetsk at Old Trafford on Match Day Six for second spot in the group. So the order of the day for David Moyes’ men is simply avoid defeat. That should be enough to see them comfortably through to the next round. However, the damage to United’s qualification has come on the road as they only managed to take a draw against Shakhtar and Real Sociedad. The Red Devils travel to Germany as underdogs on Wednesday and if they do pull out a win and Shakhtar lose, then the Premier League side will be safe. United first met Bayer Leverkusen back in the 2001/02 semi finals, and on that occasion the German side triumphed on aggregate after two drawn matches. United got the upper hand in the 2002/03 group stage, winning both matches. The Red Devils took an exciting, but relatively easy 4-2 win at 4-2 at Old Trafford on Match Day One, but Leverkusen have come back strongly since then.

Manchester United’s away record against Bundesliga opponents is W4 D4 L4. Ten times they have been to Germany in the Champions League and United have only managed to win three of them. If United don’t manage to post three points on Wednesday, then it will be the first time since the 2005/06 season that they will have failed to win an away game in the group. Manchester United have been struggling for wins on the road as they have now gone four in a row without a victory. Their worst ever away run in the Champions League was between February 2004 and 2008 when they went eight away games without a win. Defensively they haven’t been too bad on the road, conceding eight in their last 15 on the road. So there could be some value going Under 2.5 goals for a price of 4/5 with Bet365.

Leverkusen can be a bit hit and miss, although they are second in the Bundesliga. Their defence is not particularly great at all, but they have managed to drop just the two points at home this season in the German top flight. They have won both their home matches in the group so far. What carries them is their great forward talent, with Stefan Kiessling running at odds of 21/10 in the Anytime Goalscorer market, along with Sidney Sam at 2/1. Both are big threats to the United defence. However, the German side have been defeated in eight of their last nine Champions League encounters against sides from England. Not only that, they haven’t managed to keep a clean sheet in five previous matches against the Red Devils. But you can’t ignore their home form, having won their last eight Champions League matches on home turf. They do blow hot or cold and the balance between attack and defence they haven’t nailed down yet. A draw may not be a bad option at all.

Prediction

The Bundesliga side should have a large share of the game here, because United are generally negative on the road. So this could be tense and because top spot in the group is at stake, would look Under 2.5 goals at odds of 4/5 with Bet365.

Form (all competitions)

Leverkusen WWLDWW, Man United WWWDD

Stat Attack

United are without a win in their last four Champions League away games
United’s last three Champions League games have gone under 2.5 goals
Leverkusen have lost 8 of their last 9 Champions League games against English sides
Leverkusen have won their last eight home games in the group stage

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